Demographics December

The Republican party is scattered like seeds in the wind, blowing aimlessly in different directions by contrasting convections. Within the right of the political spectrum are the extreme conservatives, the fiscal conservatives, and some moderates. The cross section changes by the day, and while different elements may contrast with each other, there is one overlying fact that cannot be ignored: demographics.

Shifting demographics have already made an impact on national political campaigns, and white people are no longer an absolute majority. All of the centuries of treating those with different skin colors as lesser individuals has finally caught up to Republicans, and they are getting rebuked at the polls by pretty much every demographic that’s not purely white.

There are many other major causes for the permanent decline in the Republican party and their influence. The waning sway of the church, the liberalization of young people thanks to access to information, the increasing amount of wealth in our nation, and the loss of a key voting bloc: the elderly.

For this politiblog, it is worth exploring all of these points in extended detail, to outline exactly how the forces of progress will always prove too much for all of the energy spent trying to keep things the same.

It is fitting after Obama thumped Romney that we take some time to explore why the Republican party today is crippled, and why they must change their platform to better reflect America. If they dont, they will go the way of the Whigs.

Look for articles this month on The Wrong Wing that focus on why the decline of the Republican party is not temporary, and how the nation’s political future will be determined.

The Paul Ryan Problem

The United States faces an uncertain financial future. The recovering economy has not yet seen the kind of boost necessary to pick up the slack and prevent the nation from sinking in the event of a shock. This is a problem because a shock might be coming. In the eyes of many political pundits, we are headed towards a precipitous fiscal cliff.

usa debt crisis

It only drops a few feet

The fiscal cliff invites violent images of falling to one’s death. Yet it is much less dramatic than that. The automatic raises in taxes and cuts in spending were put in place to appease creditors and to show that if the government cant get its act together, there would be something that could save America’s financial books from our own gridlock and polarized ideologies.

The term automatic is really meaningless in this case. Lawmakers can always get around things, nothing is written in stone and with the primary focus of the country resting firmly on increasing jobs, not eliminating the debt, there will always be something that can be done. The idea of a fiscal cliff is only real if the Democrats use it to affront the Republican agenda, the same way Republicans toyed with the idea of default to rattle the Democrats.

There is most certainly a debt problem in America. And at the core of the negotiations to find a solution is former vice presidential candidate and extreme conservative Paul Ryan, who arguably cost Mitt Romney Florida and couldn’t even carry his own state of Wisconsin. Ryan is known around the nation as the debt guy, who presented radical plans to level the budget. He is not very well known and not every widely liked, but at least he presented a plan. He is one of the few that have.

UNCERTAINTY ON THE HILL

Ryan might be known as the debt guy but — as we have written about countless times before — he has voted for nearly every single measure put in place by W Bush that created the debt problem that we face today. This glaring hypocrisy aside, he is a wild card. Being young, he is promising for the Tea Party movement. However, the Tea Party is probably dead as we know it. Whatever form their resurrection will take will probably mean meandering towards the center of the political spectrum, or else face losing again and again in coming elections.

The biggest question is how Ryan will play to the far right of America. He needs to balance his conservative credentials (based on his voting record, this is only in regards to social issues) and the practical needs of the country. Some of the Tea Party candidates, like Mourdock in Indiana, were able to unseat long-time Washington Insiders thanks to an anti-government agenda. But when they ran against Democrats, they lost. Could Ryan actually fall victim to a movement like this? He has been in Washington as an elected official since 1998. With the growing unease and unpopularity of Congress, Ryan might become a target of the very same movement that brought him almost to the Vice Presidency.

So Ryan must progress the budget talks while retaining a near-impossible level of  conservative zeal, which normally means not compromising. If the nation hits the fiscal cliff, it will be his fault in the eyes of the entire country. If he softens his stance on the budget to accommodate a plausible solution, he will lose his luster among the far right, which could cost him his political future. The nation waits to see if pragmatism can right the nation’s finances and push Ryan towards a more sympathetic centrist position. If he does this correctly, he might be able to rely on socially-conservative centrist Republicans to keep his place in the GOP ranks. If not, he might not be re-elected come 2014.

Romney’s Concession Speech [VIDEO]

Mitt Romney campaigned for the presidency for a total of nearly six years during two election cycles. He spent and raised billions of dollars with the GOP to try to reach the highest office in the land. He was not the first in his family, his father, George Romney, ran unsuccessfully for president in 1968. On Tuesday night, after the polls closed and the numbers came in, he called President Obama to congratulate him on a well-fought victory.

the three reasons mitt romney lost the presidential election

The former presidential candidate

There are three primary reasons why Romney failed to win the election, even at a time when the sluggish economy made someone as liked as Barack Obama vulnerable. Romney failed to connect with the American people, he was on the wrong side of social issues, and he failed to earn America’s trust.

Connecting with a population is horrendously difficult, but connecting with individuals shouldn’t be. For seasoned politicians, who possess a certain level of interpersonal skills, public speaking and interviews should be natural. Just watching Obama speak makes people feel like he is one of them. He doesn’t look like he’s acting. He is genuine. Romney was unable to morph into the smooth talking politician like Clinton or Reagan. His movements were robotic, his tone condescending, and his face had the tendency to reveal scorn over happiness. It was the same criticisms of his father, who lost the nomination to Richard Nixon in 1968. Romney’s money was a problem too, as he never could shake off the images of foreign bank accounts, vacation homes, and Wall Street excess.

Some could argue he was doomed from the start thanks to the Republican mantle. With the economy growing slowly yet steadily, any magical economic boost that Romney might have been able to engineer just wasn’t viewed by the public as being worth setting back civil and gender rights. Whether or not Romney actually wanted to repeal Roe vs. Wade (almost 100% sure he doesn’t) he would’ve been in a position to make that a reality. The tide also shifted with gay rights, with more than half of the nation supporting marriage equality. Republicans have not become more open, they have only doubled-down. Historically, Romney would have been on the right side of these issues, like when he was the governor of Massachusetts. But that brings us to the final reason why Romney lost, trust.

Romney has been on each side of every issue. Flip-flopping on abortion, gay rights, healthcare, gun control, you name it, Romney seemed to take a calculated bet that was more about him rising to power than championing any sort of cause. He is treating politics like a CEO treats a business, when the two could not possibly be more different. He even had to pick radical conservative congressman Paul Ryan as his running mate, to try to convince the far right wing conservatives that he was for real. Couple this approach with his unwillingness to disclose his tax returns, provide real information about his leadership at Bain (during and after the Salt Lake City Olympics), dodging any sort of military service during Vietnam, and making comments about 47% of the people in the country, and you get a guy that not many people are willing to give the keys to their car to. Romney wanted to have everything on his terms, which meant leaving us in the dark. As a result, he did little to garner the trust of anyone, not even those in the Republican party.

This is his last speech of the 2012 US Election:

Legitimately Finished: Republican Candidates Can’t Escape Rape Comments

The victory of Barack Obama yesterday was the result of nearly sweeping the crucial battleground states. But in the various Senate races up for grabs across the country, where Republicans were hopeful that they might be able to wrest control of the senate from the Democrats for the coming term, the party of the people showed up in a big way, handing some major upsets to the GOP and retaining power over the Senate for the next two years at least. Of those who failed to reach their goals; two men who had made it clear that they were not fit to create policy.

legitimate rape comments cost akin senate seat

Down and out

In Missouri, disgraced politician Todd Akin, whose comments about female biology during instances of “legitimate rape” made him a target for equality advocates across the nation, had already been cut off from the Republican party. Even former candidate (how good does it feel to say that!) Mitt Romney spoke to him amidst the controversy asking him to drop out of the race. The former presidential candidate was keenly aware of the War on Women and the negative view of the GOP held by anyone in the USA with a vagina, and everyone else in the USA who cares about them. Romney and Republican party officials wanted Akin out to calm nerves and maneuver in a candidate who might have had a chance at winning.

Headstrong, Akin decided to stay in, polls had him remaining competitive. But his support evaporated, and the opposition materialized. He was successfully kept out of the Senate and most likely will never surface again in politics. Good riddance.

Akin was not the only man to reveal that he has no idea how female (or human) biology works while at the same time trying make the case to enact laws to control reproductive rights. Richard Mourdock, the former treasurer of the state of Indiana, got into trouble when he made comments about pregnancy resulting from rape being the will of God. While his blatant ignorance and disregard of reality was on display for the entirety of his campaign, it was this that pushed him over the edge and eroded the incredible amount of support he was able to amass during his beginning of his campaign.

will of god rape comments cost mourdock senate race

There’s no room for you here either

Mourdock was a Tea Party favorite, whose anti-Washington, anti-government, and anti-tax message caused him to defeat Republican Senator Dick Lugar — who served 36 years in the Senate — by over 20 percentage points during the Republican primaries. He looked like a shoe-in for victory in a Republican state with a popular Republican governor (Mitch Daniels). He fell to Democrat Joe Donnelly, whose biggest asset was simply that he wasn’t a religious radical who wanted to control women while understanding nothing about reality.

The fall of the Tea Party darlings is probably the nail in the coffin for the radical right wing group that has cannibalized the Republican party. Their hypocritical, sexist, and entirely ignorant beliefs are becoming increasingly marginalized, and thanks to the velocity that news can morph and travel on the internet, it is impossible to escape any questionable comments. Society is too modern for these time-traveling chauvinists.

To dismiss these comments from both men as simply “errors” of speech would be to classify them like Mitt Romney’s “Binders full of women” comment. Romney’s comment caught fire because of the potential comical images that come to mind immediately. Akin and Mourdock actually believe what they said. They actually believe that access to contraceptives, abortion, and family planning are against the will of God. They fail to accept that as a progressive society we need a standard of health that is identical between men and women, and that this standard must be based on science and common morality, not the Bible. They represent an older, radical demographic that is quickly shrinking into irrelevancy. Hopefully the results from yesterday mean that at least two more men are out of the game for good.

3 Ways Republicans Try To Steal The Election

Voters hit the polls today to elect the next crop of legislatures, and of course, the President of the United States. Even though the American democratic standard is revered around the globe, there are still sinister forces at work. Republicans know that it is more difficult tonight for Romney to win than Obama. So they are going to use all of the tools at their disposal, even when those tools are immoral and illegal.

There are three primary ways that Republicans have already, will today and will in the coming days attempt to manipulate the outcome of the election:

  • Voter ID laws were the first attempt at suppressing the Democratic vote, and its history goes back a few years. Republican officials enacted rules requiring voters to present valid photo ID, something that not everyone has, disproportionately those who vote Democrat. The Republican politicians tried to apply these laws selectively, to areas that go blue in elections. Courts saw right through this and a number of rulings deemed these laws unconstitutional.
  • Today, people posing as election assistants or officials will try to spread misinformation at polling places, in an illegal attempt at tricking voters out of their right. It’s truly depressing to think that people would resort to this, but again, when viewed against the Republican platform, it is not uncharacteristic: control others who disagree with us, make decisions for them. If you see anyone suspicious call the police immediately. If enough of these people can get caught, it could lead to better voting conditions in the future.
  • And then, there is of course the favorite: legal challenges to vote counting. It worked for W Bush in 2000, and will certainly come up if the race is close. There are too many angles to count that Republicans will try to exploit, like the window that an early vote ballot was kept in a certain place, or doublechecking the voter registration numbers. Anyway possible to exclude votes from the Democrats.

Democrats have not used any of these tactics. What does that say about Republicans? Keep vigilant at the polls today, and make sure that everyone who goes to vote can.

Election Month Has Arrived: Five More Days

Mitt Romney has been campaigning for the presidency for more than six years. His family has a history of campaigning, his father was an unsuccessful presidential candidate in the 1960′s. Now, as the page of the calendar turns to November, with five short days to go before the nation’s decision is made, Romney is completing his rebirth. He has returned almost entirely to his days as a moderate Republican governor. 

The Tea Party must be steaming right now, ready to blow the lids of their pots. All of the promises that Romney made when he was fighting to get their votes during the primaries, all of the posturing, hawkish rhetoric, competing with out-of-touch conservatives like Rick Santorum and the Unethical Amphibian, has been discarded in favor of the center, the middle of the American political spectrum where elections are won. But hey, it’s not like the Tea Partiers are going to vote for Obama!

It reveals much about the American political system when winning the primaries is so different from winning the general election. On one side, America is a gigantic country with hundreds of millions of people and billions of opinions. On the other side, we agree on fundamental points: we must remain strong, we must remain safe, and we must continue to advance the American cause. Some would say that it is normal to present two different faces, one during the primary and one during the general election. But when the past elections are divided up between Democratic primaries and Republican primaries, austere differences appear.

During the 2008 campaign, the differences between Obama and Hillary Clinton were slim, existing in theory if at all. The Obama who began campaigning in the primaries was the same man elected president in November 2008. His messages remained identical, he did not sway, change opinion, or pander. He led.

The transformation that Mitt Romney has undergone is incredible. He ran in 2008 as a moderate Republican. He lost the nomination to John McCain. He reappeared two years ago to throw his hat in for the 2012 election, and the media immediately labelled him as the front runner. This was not because Mitt Romney deserved to be in front, but because there were literally no other prominent Republicans who wanted to take a stab at unseating Obama. It shows just how desperate the Republicans were that Newt Gingrich, the Unethical Amphibian himself, thought that he could be a presidential candidate!

Yet as the media-annointed “front-runner” Romney still had to deal with an angry sect on the far right of his party who threatened to gain enough momentum to propel someone like Santorum into the national race. Romney doubled down, and veered to the right. He attacked his own personal history of helping the poor and sick. He railed against Obamacare as unconstitutional (looks like he was wrong about that) and went after Obama for being weak on an international stage.

Funny how different one man can be, even when there are hundreds of millions of eyeballs on him. Now, less than one week before the polls close, he is assuring people that he would keep some of the aspects of Obamacare, that he would not turn Medicare into a voucher system and, as revealed during the final presidential debate, he would take an identical strategy to dealing with international situations as Obama has. Romney has not just veered to the center, he has veered to the left!

There is some danger to this, as the far right, who were already skeptical about Romney, might decide that it’s not worth it to show up at the polls. In a state like Wyoming, that isn’t going to matter. Romney will get the delegates. But in swing states, where Romney and Obama have spent nearly all of their time, it could have an effect. Except for one thing: the far right in America doesn’t seem to have a memory, unless it is used to recall the gold old days when Reagan was President. They see Obama as the biggest threat to their personal liberties, and clasp their notions of freedumb, rejecting all rationalization, scientific thought, and even their own blatant hypocrisy. If Romney can flip flop across the nation and the years like a fish trying to escape from a boat, and no one on the right cares, let’s hope it’s because they aren’t planning on voting.

$2 Billion Spent in 2012 Presidential Campaign

With eight days to go before Election Day 2012, the sums that each party has managed to amass are staggering, fully a billion dollars raised by each side, with a total of over $2 billion for the entirety of the presidential campaign.

2012 campaign fundraising

That’s a lot of purchases at the dollar store

$2 billion is a lot of money, it is the same amount as 7,000 homes in America, four years college tuition for 57,800 students, and a year’s worth of health coverage for 127,000 families. Thanks to the Supreme Courts ruling that anyone can donate unlimited sums to Super PACs, operating independently of candidates, a lot of this money went straight to attack ads, and propagated misinformation from both sides. This is a complete waste of money and energy.

Who benefits from the money spent on campaigning? People who work on campaigns and receive salaries, media outlets, especially TV channels where ad money is spent, and the candidate who wins. In this regard, Romney is a hedge bet for millionaires, donate a few million and Romney will change the tax structure making it possible for millionaires to be taxed less in the future, ideally saving them more money than they donated.

But special interest groups also benefit. They raise a lot of money to use as influence over candidates, to ensure that candidates appeal to them and agree to fight for them on the national stage. The threat of losing that funding the next time around means that politicians can’t stray from their promises.

In the end, it is a spider web made from the stickiest material that ensnares candidates from early in their careers, and is amplified on the national level. In our opinion, Romney is much more indebted to his major donors than Obama, whose donations are spread along a much wider spectrum of interests. Either way, this system is broken, and there must be someway that this money and energy can be used in a productive way.

Binders Full Of Women

Women form the majority of the electorate in the United States. You wouldn’t know that from looking at the number of female politicians there are, nor from the majority of the talking points on the campaign trail during this year’s presidential election. But there have been some trends, including the publicizing of the so-dubbed “war on women,” referring to the GOP’s platform that is harmful to women’s rights. During the second presidential debate this week, the issue came up again.

mitt romney debate gaffe

Women are really in a bind

Obama has long been keen on women’s issues, which is to say equality in the workplace, equal pay, supporting programs that help to develop careers, create opportunities, and supporting women’s reproductive rights and freedoms. Romney has been rightfully trying to play to the economic side of women, saying that the economy is the most important issue to them. He is correct, and it’s helping to improve his standing. But when the actual issue of women’s equality came up, Romney gaffed again.

As governor of Massachusetts, Romney was troubled at the lack of women in his cabinet. He racked his brain saying, “golly, I dont know any women who are qualified to be in these positions.” Of course, he has been saying that his whole life. He has always operated at the top of businesses, where he surrounded himself with other rich white men. That was just how things worked.

If Romney had worked with more talented women his entire career, and cared about seeing a true level of equality in the business world, he would’ve acknowledged that conditions were tough for women and that hiring and promotion opportunities needed to be made with this in mind. So to address his sudden urge to make up for a career of institutionalizing inequality, he got his team to put together binders of qualified female candidates that they could interview and identify as potential cabinet members.

The world has jumped on this comment in a way that’s unfair and hard to understand. Social media now affects the news after the news reports on something, and very random things can start to trend. One could argue that everything on the internet is random to the majority of internet users, but either way people started to use it to show how out of touch Romney is. Or proffer their own conclusions as to why exactly it’s funny. Yet while people jump on the comment, it is really the hypocrisy that hurts the most: if there were binders full of capable women, why didn’t Romney know any of them?

Romney’s father was the governor of Michigan, and unsuccessfully ran for President. Mitt Romney was an investment banker, business leader, and had close connections to Washington and Wall Street. He’s a well-connected guy. Why would Romney not know any qualified women? Because there are so few of them there in the first place!

The vicious circle is only exaggerated when Romney uses the excuse, “we wanted women, the men were just all better! It’s not our fault that we wanted to make money!” The problem is, the cycle will never be broken unless people like Romney truly value equality from the beginning of their careers, and show it by making sure that their workplaces are equal opportunity for their entire lives, not just when they need to win votes.

The National Debt & Romney’s 20% Tax Cut

Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan continue to launch a barrage of attacks on President Obama with regard to the size of the debt during this year’s presidential election. Paul Ryan and the GOP have an affinity for large, digital debt clocks that show the enormous sum our nation have acquired over the history of our existence. Paul Ryan is known as the debt guy, committed to reducing it at all costs.

mitt romney proposed tax cut

No, no it doesn’t

But in the same breath, Ryan touts Romney’s 20% across the board tax cuts as the answer for economic stimulus to pay the debt. 20% is a huge number, and the corresponding government spending that would have to be reached in order to match it would be too much for the nation to handle. There would be rioting in the streets.

Math has been thrown out the window like a napkin on the side of the highway. If we recall, it was the Bush tax cuts that added trillions to our debt, and Obama kept them in place, further inflaming the issue. The debt is rising so swiftly due to interest rates that cannot go down until progress has been made. This progress means cuts to programs, along with increased tax revenue to break the trend and start to move those huge clocks in reverse.

Ryan had some radical ideas in his first budget, which cut spending everywhere, axed Medicare in favor of a different system, and reduced the governments role in business and life in general. It merited some discussion, and came under fire for a number of reasons, but in that case, at least the math added up.

Now Ryan goes on the campaigns trail and says “I’m not going to tell you what you want to hear, I’m going to be real with you, even if it’s difficult, our debt is out of control, we have to stop it.” Then he adds immediately exactly what everyone wants to hear: “20% tax cuts for everybody, because you deserve it!” His supporters revere him for being honest and tough, without connecting the fact that the tax cut is only an appeal for their vote, like a 20% coupon at a store, and would, in a manner of weeks, make the debt level unsustainable and risk immediate default, causing automatic tax hikes and vast levels of uncertainty which would hamstring investment.

Let’s put it another way, it’s like a representative of Marlboro cigarettes talking to a room of smokers. “Look, I’m going to be straight with you, smoking will kill you, your smoking is out of control and you have to cut it down and quit. That’s the hard truth. But, since I know you love smoking and are addicted to it, here’s a 20% off coupon when you buy two or more cartons of delicious Marlboro reds.”

Romney’s Turn To Center: Softening On Abortion

Romney’s veer to the center of the spectrum during the first presidential debate marks a completely different persona than the one that he faked being to win the Republican nomination during the primary season. Now he is trying to return to his old Moderate Mitt days as governor of Massachusetts when he was decidedly pro-choice. Now he made comments that conflict with his running mate’s position, and a position he held before. Plus, these comments come on the same day as the Vice Presidential debate, where Paul Ryan, an ultra-conservative, will have to explain how he can support Romney when the man keeps changing his position to appeal to voters. 

not agreeing on a common platform

Which way did he go, which way will he go?

Ryan is famous for his efforts to oppose women’s reproductive rights, and has sponsored numerous bills to limit access to contraceptives and abortion. Women are terrified of him and his positions, and tonight if Biden can get him into a corner, he will have a hard time appearing sympathetic as he tries to claim that he knows what’s best for a woman. If Biden can link him to Todd Akin, the disgraced politician from Missouri, it will be hard for Ryan to recover.

Romney’s shift to the center is welcomed. He has always been moderate, and a Moderate Mitt can enable some real conversation about the direction of the economy. If Romney would just return to who he really is, we could rest easy knowing that people in America will have health care (under a system he is originally responsible for), guns would be controlled, and women would have access to the contraceptives and family planning services that they need. We could actually have a meaningful discussion about the role of government in society, of the tax structure, and of the ways to improve the economy.

But Romney’s hand is held back by the conservative wing of the country that keeps him saying ridiculous things like “As President, I will defund Planned Parenthood.” We need to get over this childishness, this religiosity, this ignorance and intolerance that limits our national discourse. We need to ditch hardliners like Paul Ryan, and work together for common solutions to problems we can fix, not use antiquated ideas to impose our will upon others.

Please, Moderate Mitt, come back to us, rebuff the far right, free yourself from the chains of ignorance and intolerance, stop trying to be what you are not, and be your original self. You might lose some enthusiasm from the wrong wing, but you will gain a lot of supporters from the center, and maybe even win the election.