Obama’s Second Inauguration: A Great Time To Not Be Republican

On a brisk Monday in our nation’s governmental node, a vast crowd of people gathered on the damp mall, waving flags and cheering the second inauguration of President Barack Obama. After an extremely hard-fought, expensive, and divisive campaign, the result was finally made official as President Obama swore the oath of office. Considering his level of success on advancing social causes like healthcare and equal rights, the nation can look forward to four more years of expert stewardship. There has never been a better time to root for the left. 

president obama sworn in for second term

Hope is back

While the tone was much more subdued than the fervor that surrounded his first inauguration, Obama did not disappoint. For the first time in history in an inaugural speech, the President mentioned gay rights, and likened their path to that of other civil rights movements. He heavily pushed the cause of collective good. And, most importantly, he affronted the conservatives.

Baffled at their own demise, Republicans have been grasping at anything that even resembles an opportunity to make it seem like they are still doing anything at a national level. Obama’s speech rebuked the conservatives and particularly the puddle of the agitated far right from where the likes of Paul Ryan spawn. John McCain hypocritically whined that Obama didn’t talk enough about working together. However, no one in the nation believed the Senator, because no one heard him.

TO THE LEFT

The noise of the right was drowned out by the hopes of the left. Obama, who stayed too far to the center for the preferences of many a liberal, might buck the trend of past Presidents going into their second terms. History states that a President tends to gravitate towards the center the second time a nation elects him. With the Senate set (today) to vote on changing the rules of the filibuster, Obama might take the opportunity to move to the left instead and push through reforms on gun control and immigration.

If he succeeds at pushing through major legislation on these points (which seems probable considering the attention some in the Republican rank are getting by promoting reform), by the end of his second term and eight years in office he will have reformed healthcare, gun control, and immigration. But perhaps the most exciting part of his inaugural speech was his frank mention of climate change, and what the US must do to counteract it. This was a breath of fresh air (pun intended). It could mark the beginning of a substantial national shift in energy policy towards renewables for which many have been waiting decades.

Whatever your viewpoint, it is clear that despite the contrary claims, hope is alive and well.

Republicans Bring Down Susan Rice

The onslaught was immediate. After jihadists attacked the American embassy in Benghazi Lybia, the Republicans followed in their tracks and continued the offensive. Presidential candidate-at-the-time Mitt Romney’s criticism came immediately. Since Obama had no major foreign policy gaffes or missteps throughout his first term, the Republicans needed to find something to draw attention to as a fault. At the center of the controversy, US Ambassador to the UN Susan Rice, Obama’s top choice as the next Secretary of State.

republicans stop susan rice because of benghazi attack controversy

It’s not right

It was the comments around what happened in the attack in Lybia that lit the fuse. Confusion over whether the attack was a protest gone awry or an organized strike by a terrorist group caused a period of time when information went back and forth. The real problem was completely ignored: the question of the safety of America’s officials who work overseas. The issue that came up was how the State Department talked about a rapidly unfolding event with little outside information.

While it is the duty of officials to present accurate information to the people who elect them, in the world of counter-terrorism information is very hard to come by. When a few individuals act with the complete element of surprise, it is natural that it takes some time to get any sort of bigger picture. Under normal circumstance, the nation would unite against the attackers. Susan Rice is a target only because the controversy managed to stick.

Republicans are desperate for some sort of victory, and Susan Rice just handed them one when she formally withdrew her candidacy for Secretary of State. It is a shame, since Rice is a highly educated and experienced diplomat who spent many years outside of the United States. She is in every way qualified and deserving to go through the application process to be Secretary of State. Instead, Republicans, who dislike the UN anyway, wanted to show that they could still impact national politics. Since nearly every opinion poll shows the Republicans on the wrong side of the table on almost every issue, it was really their only option. It is unfortunate for the nation as a whole, but if predictions come true and Senator John Kerry is tapped, it wouldn’t be the end of the world.

Demographics December

The Republican party is scattered like seeds in the wind, blowing aimlessly in different directions by contrasting convections. Within the right of the political spectrum are the extreme conservatives, the fiscal conservatives, and some moderates. The cross section changes by the day, and while different elements may contrast with each other, there is one overlying fact that cannot be ignored: demographics.

Shifting demographics have already made an impact on national political campaigns, and white people are no longer an absolute majority. All of the centuries of treating those with different skin colors as lesser individuals has finally caught up to Republicans, and they are getting rebuked at the polls by pretty much every demographic that’s not purely white.

There are many other major causes for the permanent decline in the Republican party and their influence. The waning sway of the church, the liberalization of young people thanks to access to information, the increasing amount of wealth in our nation, and the loss of a key voting bloc: the elderly.

For this politiblog, it is worth exploring all of these points in extended detail, to outline exactly how the forces of progress will always prove too much for all of the energy spent trying to keep things the same.

It is fitting after Obama thumped Romney that we take some time to explore why the Republican party today is crippled, and why they must change their platform to better reflect America. If they dont, they will go the way of the Whigs.

Look for articles this month on The Wrong Wing that focus on why the decline of the Republican party is not temporary, and how the nation’s political future will be determined.

The Paul Ryan Problem

The United States faces an uncertain financial future. The recovering economy has not yet seen the kind of boost necessary to pick up the slack and prevent the nation from sinking in the event of a shock. This is a problem because a shock might be coming. In the eyes of many political pundits, we are headed towards a precipitous fiscal cliff.

usa debt crisis

It only drops a few feet

The fiscal cliff invites violent images of falling to one’s death. Yet it is much less dramatic than that. The automatic raises in taxes and cuts in spending were put in place to appease creditors and to show that if the government cant get its act together, there would be something that could save America’s financial books from our own gridlock and polarized ideologies.

The term automatic is really meaningless in this case. Lawmakers can always get around things, nothing is written in stone and with the primary focus of the country resting firmly on increasing jobs, not eliminating the debt, there will always be something that can be done. The idea of a fiscal cliff is only real if the Democrats use it to affront the Republican agenda, the same way Republicans toyed with the idea of default to rattle the Democrats.

There is most certainly a debt problem in America. And at the core of the negotiations to find a solution is former vice presidential candidate and extreme conservative Paul Ryan, who arguably cost Mitt Romney Florida and couldn’t even carry his own state of Wisconsin. Ryan is known around the nation as the debt guy, who presented radical plans to level the budget. He is not very well known and not every widely liked, but at least he presented a plan. He is one of the few that have.

UNCERTAINTY ON THE HILL

Ryan might be known as the debt guy but — as we have written about countless times before — he has voted for nearly every single measure put in place by W Bush that created the debt problem that we face today. This glaring hypocrisy aside, he is a wild card. Being young, he is promising for the Tea Party movement. However, the Tea Party is probably dead as we know it. Whatever form their resurrection will take will probably mean meandering towards the center of the political spectrum, or else face losing again and again in coming elections.

The biggest question is how Ryan will play to the far right of America. He needs to balance his conservative credentials (based on his voting record, this is only in regards to social issues) and the practical needs of the country. Some of the Tea Party candidates, like Mourdock in Indiana, were able to unseat long-time Washington Insiders thanks to an anti-government agenda. But when they ran against Democrats, they lost. Could Ryan actually fall victim to a movement like this? He has been in Washington as an elected official since 1998. With the growing unease and unpopularity of Congress, Ryan might become a target of the very same movement that brought him almost to the Vice Presidency.

So Ryan must progress the budget talks while retaining a near-impossible level of  conservative zeal, which normally means not compromising. If the nation hits the fiscal cliff, it will be his fault in the eyes of the entire country. If he softens his stance on the budget to accommodate a plausible solution, he will lose his luster among the far right, which could cost him his political future. The nation waits to see if pragmatism can right the nation’s finances and push Ryan towards a more sympathetic centrist position. If he does this correctly, he might be able to rely on socially-conservative centrist Republicans to keep his place in the GOP ranks. If not, he might not be re-elected come 2014.

Math Republicans Do To Make Themselves Feel Better

Reality, we have seen — time and time again — does not include everyone. Throughout the entire election campaign, we have argued that Republican visions for America were not in line with what the nation was actually facing. All of the Republican heads were wrong leading up to Tuesday’s election. The race wasn’t even close, Obama cruised to a decisive victory. How could they all have got it so wrong, when Nate Silver predicted everything with perfect accuracy?

math republicans do to make themselves feel better

It’s not just Tuesday, you have been wrong for a long, long time

On Tuesday night, we got confirmation that what Republicans try to make themselves believe, and what is really happening in America are in fact two different things, solely because the reality of America depresses some Republicans. When the belief came face to face with reality, it exploded.

Karl Rove, one of the top Republican operates, was on Fox when the media called Ohio for Obama. It was the finishing move of the campaign, the beheading and de-intestining of Romney’s bid, and Rove couldn’t accept it. He doubted the claims, tried to bring in false information until he was called out by one of the anchors, who asked Rove pointedly, “is this just math republicans do to make themselves feel better?”

Jon Stewart sums it up better than we ever could on the Daily Show from November 7th. Watch the whole episode to hear from Nate Silver, who might’ve just completely changed the way that elections work:

 

Legitimately Finished: Republican Candidates Can’t Escape Rape Comments

The victory of Barack Obama yesterday was the result of nearly sweeping the crucial battleground states. But in the various Senate races up for grabs across the country, where Republicans were hopeful that they might be able to wrest control of the senate from the Democrats for the coming term, the party of the people showed up in a big way, handing some major upsets to the GOP and retaining power over the Senate for the next two years at least. Of those who failed to reach their goals; two men who had made it clear that they were not fit to create policy.

legitimate rape comments cost akin senate seat

Down and out

In Missouri, disgraced politician Todd Akin, whose comments about female biology during instances of “legitimate rape” made him a target for equality advocates across the nation, had already been cut off from the Republican party. Even former candidate (how good does it feel to say that!) Mitt Romney spoke to him amidst the controversy asking him to drop out of the race. The former presidential candidate was keenly aware of the War on Women and the negative view of the GOP held by anyone in the USA with a vagina, and everyone else in the USA who cares about them. Romney and Republican party officials wanted Akin out to calm nerves and maneuver in a candidate who might have had a chance at winning.

Headstrong, Akin decided to stay in, polls had him remaining competitive. But his support evaporated, and the opposition materialized. He was successfully kept out of the Senate and most likely will never surface again in politics. Good riddance.

Akin was not the only man to reveal that he has no idea how female (or human) biology works while at the same time trying make the case to enact laws to control reproductive rights. Richard Mourdock, the former treasurer of the state of Indiana, got into trouble when he made comments about pregnancy resulting from rape being the will of God. While his blatant ignorance and disregard of reality was on display for the entirety of his campaign, it was this that pushed him over the edge and eroded the incredible amount of support he was able to amass during his beginning of his campaign.

will of god rape comments cost mourdock senate race

There’s no room for you here either

Mourdock was a Tea Party favorite, whose anti-Washington, anti-government, and anti-tax message caused him to defeat Republican Senator Dick Lugar — who served 36 years in the Senate — by over 20 percentage points during the Republican primaries. He looked like a shoe-in for victory in a Republican state with a popular Republican governor (Mitch Daniels). He fell to Democrat Joe Donnelly, whose biggest asset was simply that he wasn’t a religious radical who wanted to control women while understanding nothing about reality.

The fall of the Tea Party darlings is probably the nail in the coffin for the radical right wing group that has cannibalized the Republican party. Their hypocritical, sexist, and entirely ignorant beliefs are becoming increasingly marginalized, and thanks to the velocity that news can morph and travel on the internet, it is impossible to escape any questionable comments. Society is too modern for these time-traveling chauvinists.

To dismiss these comments from both men as simply “errors” of speech would be to classify them like Mitt Romney’s “Binders full of women” comment. Romney’s comment caught fire because of the potential comical images that come to mind immediately. Akin and Mourdock actually believe what they said. They actually believe that access to contraceptives, abortion, and family planning are against the will of God. They fail to accept that as a progressive society we need a standard of health that is identical between men and women, and that this standard must be based on science and common morality, not the Bible. They represent an older, radical demographic that is quickly shrinking into irrelevancy. Hopefully the results from yesterday mean that at least two more men are out of the game for good.

Election Month Has Arrived: Five More Days

Mitt Romney has been campaigning for the presidency for more than six years. His family has a history of campaigning, his father was an unsuccessful presidential candidate in the 1960′s. Now, as the page of the calendar turns to November, with five short days to go before the nation’s decision is made, Romney is completing his rebirth. He has returned almost entirely to his days as a moderate Republican governor. 

The Tea Party must be steaming right now, ready to blow the lids of their pots. All of the promises that Romney made when he was fighting to get their votes during the primaries, all of the posturing, hawkish rhetoric, competing with out-of-touch conservatives like Rick Santorum and the Unethical Amphibian, has been discarded in favor of the center, the middle of the American political spectrum where elections are won. But hey, it’s not like the Tea Partiers are going to vote for Obama!

It reveals much about the American political system when winning the primaries is so different from winning the general election. On one side, America is a gigantic country with hundreds of millions of people and billions of opinions. On the other side, we agree on fundamental points: we must remain strong, we must remain safe, and we must continue to advance the American cause. Some would say that it is normal to present two different faces, one during the primary and one during the general election. But when the past elections are divided up between Democratic primaries and Republican primaries, austere differences appear.

During the 2008 campaign, the differences between Obama and Hillary Clinton were slim, existing in theory if at all. The Obama who began campaigning in the primaries was the same man elected president in November 2008. His messages remained identical, he did not sway, change opinion, or pander. He led.

The transformation that Mitt Romney has undergone is incredible. He ran in 2008 as a moderate Republican. He lost the nomination to John McCain. He reappeared two years ago to throw his hat in for the 2012 election, and the media immediately labelled him as the front runner. This was not because Mitt Romney deserved to be in front, but because there were literally no other prominent Republicans who wanted to take a stab at unseating Obama. It shows just how desperate the Republicans were that Newt Gingrich, the Unethical Amphibian himself, thought that he could be a presidential candidate!

Yet as the media-annointed “front-runner” Romney still had to deal with an angry sect on the far right of his party who threatened to gain enough momentum to propel someone like Santorum into the national race. Romney doubled down, and veered to the right. He attacked his own personal history of helping the poor and sick. He railed against Obamacare as unconstitutional (looks like he was wrong about that) and went after Obama for being weak on an international stage.

Funny how different one man can be, even when there are hundreds of millions of eyeballs on him. Now, less than one week before the polls close, he is assuring people that he would keep some of the aspects of Obamacare, that he would not turn Medicare into a voucher system and, as revealed during the final presidential debate, he would take an identical strategy to dealing with international situations as Obama has. Romney has not just veered to the center, he has veered to the left!

There is some danger to this, as the far right, who were already skeptical about Romney, might decide that it’s not worth it to show up at the polls. In a state like Wyoming, that isn’t going to matter. Romney will get the delegates. But in swing states, where Romney and Obama have spent nearly all of their time, it could have an effect. Except for one thing: the far right in America doesn’t seem to have a memory, unless it is used to recall the gold old days when Reagan was President. They see Obama as the biggest threat to their personal liberties, and clasp their notions of freedumb, rejecting all rationalization, scientific thought, and even their own blatant hypocrisy. If Romney can flip flop across the nation and the years like a fish trying to escape from a boat, and no one on the right cares, let’s hope it’s because they aren’t planning on voting.

An Important Endorsement: Salt Lake City Tribune

Now that the final debate is over, and the presidential candidates have had their chance to make their case, we begin to see the formal endorsement of some news outlets that seek to provide their opinion of the candidates before election day. It is an important process in American political culture, and can deal some surprises. 

The Salt Lake City Tribune has come out against the grain of the state of Utah, dominated by Mormons and conservatives and considered well within the boundaries of Romney territory. They have endorsed Obama for another four years, citing primarily what this politiblog has always said: we just don’t know which Romney we will be electing.

Romney comes in many forms, and is willing to say and do whatever he needs to be elected. This is the primary difference: Romney gives a different pitch to each audience he speaks to, Obama does not. Obama says the same thing to everyone, no matter what their interests might be. Even if you don’t like his policy, that is the clear sign of a leader, and not someone who is just trying to be President.

Binders Full Of Women

Women form the majority of the electorate in the United States. You wouldn’t know that from looking at the number of female politicians there are, nor from the majority of the talking points on the campaign trail during this year’s presidential election. But there have been some trends, including the publicizing of the so-dubbed “war on women,” referring to the GOP’s platform that is harmful to women’s rights. During the second presidential debate this week, the issue came up again.

mitt romney debate gaffe

Women are really in a bind

Obama has long been keen on women’s issues, which is to say equality in the workplace, equal pay, supporting programs that help to develop careers, create opportunities, and supporting women’s reproductive rights and freedoms. Romney has been rightfully trying to play to the economic side of women, saying that the economy is the most important issue to them. He is correct, and it’s helping to improve his standing. But when the actual issue of women’s equality came up, Romney gaffed again.

As governor of Massachusetts, Romney was troubled at the lack of women in his cabinet. He racked his brain saying, “golly, I dont know any women who are qualified to be in these positions.” Of course, he has been saying that his whole life. He has always operated at the top of businesses, where he surrounded himself with other rich white men. That was just how things worked.

If Romney had worked with more talented women his entire career, and cared about seeing a true level of equality in the business world, he would’ve acknowledged that conditions were tough for women and that hiring and promotion opportunities needed to be made with this in mind. So to address his sudden urge to make up for a career of institutionalizing inequality, he got his team to put together binders of qualified female candidates that they could interview and identify as potential cabinet members.

The world has jumped on this comment in a way that’s unfair and hard to understand. Social media now affects the news after the news reports on something, and very random things can start to trend. One could argue that everything on the internet is random to the majority of internet users, but either way people started to use it to show how out of touch Romney is. Or proffer their own conclusions as to why exactly it’s funny. Yet while people jump on the comment, it is really the hypocrisy that hurts the most: if there were binders full of capable women, why didn’t Romney know any of them?

Romney’s father was the governor of Michigan, and unsuccessfully ran for President. Mitt Romney was an investment banker, business leader, and had close connections to Washington and Wall Street. He’s a well-connected guy. Why would Romney not know any qualified women? Because there are so few of them there in the first place!

The vicious circle is only exaggerated when Romney uses the excuse, “we wanted women, the men were just all better! It’s not our fault that we wanted to make money!” The problem is, the cycle will never be broken unless people like Romney truly value equality from the beginning of their careers, and show it by making sure that their workplaces are equal opportunity for their entire lives, not just when they need to win votes.

The Vice Presidential Debate Recap

Last night, seated at a table across from each other and broadcast on national television, Vice President Joe Biden and Republican challenger Paul Ryan squared off in their only debate of the 2012 election. As expected it was a contrast of styles, and Biden came out swinging, while Ryan tried to harp on problems that made him popular among the deeply unpopular Tea Party.

Ryan tried to make the case against the federal bailout during the financial crisis, pointing to it as one of the major reasons why the national debt is so astronomical. Yet Ryan completely forgot that it was Bush who orchestrated the bailout, and Obama, with bipartisan support, put it into effect. It would be the last time that Obama would enjoy any measure of support from the Republican side of the aisle. Ryan himself fought hard for federal bailout funds for companies operating in Wisconsin. The man has no limits to hypocrisy, but we knew that already.

Biden, with his sports bar conversation replacing traditional rhetoric and enough facial expressions to challenge the world’s best mimes, did all he could to put Ryan on this defensive about his controversial policies and radically conservative ideas. He tried to reveal Ryan for who he really is, and by most measures, he was successful.

But he was successful more so because he was arguing on the side of compassion: for a Republican so bent on freedom, Ryan sure wants to restrict a lot of things. Biden made the case for society, and at one point even referred to what Ryan said as malarkey, definitely an underused word in the political sphere.

No one was surprised that Ryan couldn’t hold his own, most people who know anything about politics know that his ideas are out of sync with the American people and might have been appropriate 100 years ago. With the next presidential debate only a few days away, the effect of this debate will be minimal, but it did what it was supposed to do: make Ryan look like a man unfit for the highest office in the land.