Demographics December

The Republican party is scattered like seeds in the wind, blowing aimlessly in different directions by contrasting convections. Within the right of the political spectrum are the extreme conservatives, the fiscal conservatives, and some moderates. The cross section changes by the day, and while different elements may contrast with each other, there is one overlying fact that cannot be ignored: demographics.

Shifting demographics have already made an impact on national political campaigns, and white people are no longer an absolute majority. All of the centuries of treating those with different skin colors as lesser individuals has finally caught up to Republicans, and they are getting rebuked at the polls by pretty much every demographic that’s not purely white.

There are many other major causes for the permanent decline in the Republican party and their influence. The waning sway of the church, the liberalization of young people thanks to access to information, the increasing amount of wealth in our nation, and the loss of a key voting bloc: the elderly.

For this politiblog, it is worth exploring all of these points in extended detail, to outline exactly how the forces of progress will always prove too much for all of the energy spent trying to keep things the same.

It is fitting after Obama thumped Romney that we take some time to explore why the Republican party today is crippled, and why they must change their platform to better reflect America. If they dont, they will go the way of the Whigs.

Look for articles this month on The Wrong Wing that focus on why the decline of the Republican party is not temporary, and how the nation’s political future will be determined.

Math Republicans Do To Make Themselves Feel Better

Reality, we have seen — time and time again — does not include everyone. Throughout the entire election campaign, we have argued that Republican visions for America were not in line with what the nation was actually facing. All of the Republican heads were wrong leading up to Tuesday’s election. The race wasn’t even close, Obama cruised to a decisive victory. How could they all have got it so wrong, when Nate Silver predicted everything with perfect accuracy?

math republicans do to make themselves feel better

It’s not just Tuesday, you have been wrong for a long, long time

On Tuesday night, we got confirmation that what Republicans try to make themselves believe, and what is really happening in America are in fact two different things, solely because the reality of America depresses some Republicans. When the belief came face to face with reality, it exploded.

Karl Rove, one of the top Republican operates, was on Fox when the media called Ohio for Obama. It was the finishing move of the campaign, the beheading and de-intestining of Romney’s bid, and Rove couldn’t accept it. He doubted the claims, tried to bring in false information until he was called out by one of the anchors, who asked Rove pointedly, “is this just math republicans do to make themselves feel better?”

Jon Stewart sums it up better than we ever could on the Daily Show from November 7th. Watch the whole episode to hear from Nate Silver, who might’ve just completely changed the way that elections work:

 

Legitimately Finished: Republican Candidates Can’t Escape Rape Comments

The victory of Barack Obama yesterday was the result of nearly sweeping the crucial battleground states. But in the various Senate races up for grabs across the country, where Republicans were hopeful that they might be able to wrest control of the senate from the Democrats for the coming term, the party of the people showed up in a big way, handing some major upsets to the GOP and retaining power over the Senate for the next two years at least. Of those who failed to reach their goals; two men who had made it clear that they were not fit to create policy.

legitimate rape comments cost akin senate seat

Down and out

In Missouri, disgraced politician Todd Akin, whose comments about female biology during instances of “legitimate rape” made him a target for equality advocates across the nation, had already been cut off from the Republican party. Even former candidate (how good does it feel to say that!) Mitt Romney spoke to him amidst the controversy asking him to drop out of the race. The former presidential candidate was keenly aware of the War on Women and the negative view of the GOP held by anyone in the USA with a vagina, and everyone else in the USA who cares about them. Romney and Republican party officials wanted Akin out to calm nerves and maneuver in a candidate who might have had a chance at winning.

Headstrong, Akin decided to stay in, polls had him remaining competitive. But his support evaporated, and the opposition materialized. He was successfully kept out of the Senate and most likely will never surface again in politics. Good riddance.

Akin was not the only man to reveal that he has no idea how female (or human) biology works while at the same time trying make the case to enact laws to control reproductive rights. Richard Mourdock, the former treasurer of the state of Indiana, got into trouble when he made comments about pregnancy resulting from rape being the will of God. While his blatant ignorance and disregard of reality was on display for the entirety of his campaign, it was this that pushed him over the edge and eroded the incredible amount of support he was able to amass during his beginning of his campaign.

will of god rape comments cost mourdock senate race

There’s no room for you here either

Mourdock was a Tea Party favorite, whose anti-Washington, anti-government, and anti-tax message caused him to defeat Republican Senator Dick Lugar — who served 36 years in the Senate — by over 20 percentage points during the Republican primaries. He looked like a shoe-in for victory in a Republican state with a popular Republican governor (Mitch Daniels). He fell to Democrat Joe Donnelly, whose biggest asset was simply that he wasn’t a religious radical who wanted to control women while understanding nothing about reality.

The fall of the Tea Party darlings is probably the nail in the coffin for the radical right wing group that has cannibalized the Republican party. Their hypocritical, sexist, and entirely ignorant beliefs are becoming increasingly marginalized, and thanks to the velocity that news can morph and travel on the internet, it is impossible to escape any questionable comments. Society is too modern for these time-traveling chauvinists.

To dismiss these comments from both men as simply “errors” of speech would be to classify them like Mitt Romney’s “Binders full of women” comment. Romney’s comment caught fire because of the potential comical images that come to mind immediately. Akin and Mourdock actually believe what they said. They actually believe that access to contraceptives, abortion, and family planning are against the will of God. They fail to accept that as a progressive society we need a standard of health that is identical between men and women, and that this standard must be based on science and common morality, not the Bible. They represent an older, radical demographic that is quickly shrinking into irrelevancy. Hopefully the results from yesterday mean that at least two more men are out of the game for good.

Election Month Has Arrived: Five More Days

Mitt Romney has been campaigning for the presidency for more than six years. His family has a history of campaigning, his father was an unsuccessful presidential candidate in the 1960′s. Now, as the page of the calendar turns to November, with five short days to go before the nation’s decision is made, Romney is completing his rebirth. He has returned almost entirely to his days as a moderate Republican governor. 

The Tea Party must be steaming right now, ready to blow the lids of their pots. All of the promises that Romney made when he was fighting to get their votes during the primaries, all of the posturing, hawkish rhetoric, competing with out-of-touch conservatives like Rick Santorum and the Unethical Amphibian, has been discarded in favor of the center, the middle of the American political spectrum where elections are won. But hey, it’s not like the Tea Partiers are going to vote for Obama!

It reveals much about the American political system when winning the primaries is so different from winning the general election. On one side, America is a gigantic country with hundreds of millions of people and billions of opinions. On the other side, we agree on fundamental points: we must remain strong, we must remain safe, and we must continue to advance the American cause. Some would say that it is normal to present two different faces, one during the primary and one during the general election. But when the past elections are divided up between Democratic primaries and Republican primaries, austere differences appear.

During the 2008 campaign, the differences between Obama and Hillary Clinton were slim, existing in theory if at all. The Obama who began campaigning in the primaries was the same man elected president in November 2008. His messages remained identical, he did not sway, change opinion, or pander. He led.

The transformation that Mitt Romney has undergone is incredible. He ran in 2008 as a moderate Republican. He lost the nomination to John McCain. He reappeared two years ago to throw his hat in for the 2012 election, and the media immediately labelled him as the front runner. This was not because Mitt Romney deserved to be in front, but because there were literally no other prominent Republicans who wanted to take a stab at unseating Obama. It shows just how desperate the Republicans were that Newt Gingrich, the Unethical Amphibian himself, thought that he could be a presidential candidate!

Yet as the media-annointed “front-runner” Romney still had to deal with an angry sect on the far right of his party who threatened to gain enough momentum to propel someone like Santorum into the national race. Romney doubled down, and veered to the right. He attacked his own personal history of helping the poor and sick. He railed against Obamacare as unconstitutional (looks like he was wrong about that) and went after Obama for being weak on an international stage.

Funny how different one man can be, even when there are hundreds of millions of eyeballs on him. Now, less than one week before the polls close, he is assuring people that he would keep some of the aspects of Obamacare, that he would not turn Medicare into a voucher system and, as revealed during the final presidential debate, he would take an identical strategy to dealing with international situations as Obama has. Romney has not just veered to the center, he has veered to the left!

There is some danger to this, as the far right, who were already skeptical about Romney, might decide that it’s not worth it to show up at the polls. In a state like Wyoming, that isn’t going to matter. Romney will get the delegates. But in swing states, where Romney and Obama have spent nearly all of their time, it could have an effect. Except for one thing: the far right in America doesn’t seem to have a memory, unless it is used to recall the gold old days when Reagan was President. They see Obama as the biggest threat to their personal liberties, and clasp their notions of freedumb, rejecting all rationalization, scientific thought, and even their own blatant hypocrisy. If Romney can flip flop across the nation and the years like a fish trying to escape from a boat, and no one on the right cares, let’s hope it’s because they aren’t planning on voting.

Six Days To Go: The Nation Comes Together

Wednesday arrives amid uncertainty. The divide between the two sides of the nation politically is directly in the middle. Polls move fractions of a percentage point in either direction, but the fact remains the same: less than a week before election day and the nation is waiting with baited breath.

 

sandy damage

Getting rocked

Hurricane Sandy’s monstrous impact on the east coast has some political heads fielding discussions about postponing the election day, an event that hasn’t happened in almost 170 years. While realistically there is little possibility this would be an option, there is a slight chance that there might not be a choice. If public transportation stays down in certain areas through election day, with some areas possibly still without electricity, the voting mechanism wouldn’t work, forcing a delay.

Meanwhile, Obama is in crisis mode and Romney continues to campaign away from the storm. Overall, the storm is a chance for the nation to come together, to send our thoughts to the victims and those digging out. Social media has been taken over by Sandy, in a way that threw political ideologies out of the window. Even though as of today over 30 unfortunate lives were tragically lost, people were reminded that as a society, we look out for each other. When water floods in, when we are forced to the roofs of our homes, slashed by the winds of uncertainty, huddled together praying for survival, help will come.

America responds to disaster. Our rescue servicepeople are heroes, who risk everything to make sure that people dont become paralyzed by fear. They give hope to those holding to keep grasping. It reminds us that we can evacuate hospitals in the middle of a superstorm to save those inside. We can survive in a huge metropolis by candlelight. And it proves that our value as individuals lies not in our ideas of personal liberty, but in how much our community will look out for us.

Divisive political rhetoric tries to make us forget this, it tries to tell us that out society drags us down, that potential is saddled by lazy people. That policies that benefit the rich will help all of us, cutting revenues to social services including rescue forces would mean a balanced budget because millionaires would make more money for everyone. No one who is waiting for a helicopter to pull them out of flood waters is worrying about our growing debt burden. When it really matters, our society is the exact opposite of what the right wing would have you believe.

Binders Full Of Women

Women form the majority of the electorate in the United States. You wouldn’t know that from looking at the number of female politicians there are, nor from the majority of the talking points on the campaign trail during this year’s presidential election. But there have been some trends, including the publicizing of the so-dubbed “war on women,” referring to the GOP’s platform that is harmful to women’s rights. During the second presidential debate this week, the issue came up again.

mitt romney debate gaffe

Women are really in a bind

Obama has long been keen on women’s issues, which is to say equality in the workplace, equal pay, supporting programs that help to develop careers, create opportunities, and supporting women’s reproductive rights and freedoms. Romney has been rightfully trying to play to the economic side of women, saying that the economy is the most important issue to them. He is correct, and it’s helping to improve his standing. But when the actual issue of women’s equality came up, Romney gaffed again.

As governor of Massachusetts, Romney was troubled at the lack of women in his cabinet. He racked his brain saying, “golly, I dont know any women who are qualified to be in these positions.” Of course, he has been saying that his whole life. He has always operated at the top of businesses, where he surrounded himself with other rich white men. That was just how things worked.

If Romney had worked with more talented women his entire career, and cared about seeing a true level of equality in the business world, he would’ve acknowledged that conditions were tough for women and that hiring and promotion opportunities needed to be made with this in mind. So to address his sudden urge to make up for a career of institutionalizing inequality, he got his team to put together binders of qualified female candidates that they could interview and identify as potential cabinet members.

The world has jumped on this comment in a way that’s unfair and hard to understand. Social media now affects the news after the news reports on something, and very random things can start to trend. One could argue that everything on the internet is random to the majority of internet users, but either way people started to use it to show how out of touch Romney is. Or proffer their own conclusions as to why exactly it’s funny. Yet while people jump on the comment, it is really the hypocrisy that hurts the most: if there were binders full of capable women, why didn’t Romney know any of them?

Romney’s father was the governor of Michigan, and unsuccessfully ran for President. Mitt Romney was an investment banker, business leader, and had close connections to Washington and Wall Street. He’s a well-connected guy. Why would Romney not know any qualified women? Because there are so few of them there in the first place!

The vicious circle is only exaggerated when Romney uses the excuse, “we wanted women, the men were just all better! It’s not our fault that we wanted to make money!” The problem is, the cycle will never be broken unless people like Romney truly value equality from the beginning of their careers, and show it by making sure that their workplaces are equal opportunity for their entire lives, not just when they need to win votes.

The Second Presidential Debate: Recap

Last night the two presidential candidates faced off in a town hall style debate for round number two. Fingers were pointed, calculated paces stepped, and the fervor of the election is reaching its peak. Pundits said that Obama needed a strong performance to recover from his flat showing in round one. He delivered.

The economic visions of the economy vary on certain levels between the candidates, yet in many ways it’s the same. What can a President actually do for the American economy? Here are some possibilities:

  • Improve international agreements establishing more free trade zones to reduce prices of American exports in other countries and allow American businesses to profit.
  • Shift funding and subsidies to areas that are growing to improve the rate of hiring.
  • Maintain access to affordable credit for start ups, and reduce regulation for registering and forming new businesses.
  • Promote American products around the world, and especially at home by developing a culture of buying American.

We only heard vague references to these ideas last night, while Mitt Romney spewed about cutting taxes and the price of a gallon of gasoline. He is selling out to get elected, basically telling everyone they can have anything they want. It’s hypocritical because of the way that Romney derides the so-called entitlement society that we have lived in. When asked directly last night to name one loophole in the tax structure he would close to address the deficit, he evaded the question entirely. The moment was awkward to say the least, but typical of his campaign: a complete lack of detail to explain how any of these ideas work. Mitt Romney has even resorted to talking about how his policies would benefit the middle class.

Obama’s style improved, and he used the final comment to bring up Mitt Romney’s 47% comment. This was crucial, that 47% has become commonplace, with only a few weeks left, it doesn’t look like it’s going away. Romney didn’t have many sympathy points going into the race anyway, but he angered a lot of people, people who probably would’ve voted for him.

In the end polls showed that people felt like both Obama and Romney did well. Romney was supposed to excel, the subject matter is after all what people respect him for, yet Obama was supposed to bounce back from the negative reviews of the first debate. The outcome was quite near what was expected, though a few missteps for Romney give the contest to Obama.

Round three of the presidential debates, centering on foreign policy, comes next. It’s a huge advantage for Obama, but there is much to lose. However, nobody in America wants to hear hawkish talk coming from a business suit who successfully evaded service in Vietnam and who compared his sons campaigning for him to having a son serving in Iraq or Afghanistan. Romney has zero credibility. Obama’s cool, diplomatic approach to world events should have the next debate sewn up, but as always a surprise could shift the tide.

The National Debt & Romney’s 20% Tax Cut

Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan continue to launch a barrage of attacks on President Obama with regard to the size of the debt during this year’s presidential election. Paul Ryan and the GOP have an affinity for large, digital debt clocks that show the enormous sum our nation have acquired over the history of our existence. Paul Ryan is known as the debt guy, committed to reducing it at all costs.

mitt romney proposed tax cut

No, no it doesn’t

But in the same breath, Ryan touts Romney’s 20% across the board tax cuts as the answer for economic stimulus to pay the debt. 20% is a huge number, and the corresponding government spending that would have to be reached in order to match it would be too much for the nation to handle. There would be rioting in the streets.

Math has been thrown out the window like a napkin on the side of the highway. If we recall, it was the Bush tax cuts that added trillions to our debt, and Obama kept them in place, further inflaming the issue. The debt is rising so swiftly due to interest rates that cannot go down until progress has been made. This progress means cuts to programs, along with increased tax revenue to break the trend and start to move those huge clocks in reverse.

Ryan had some radical ideas in his first budget, which cut spending everywhere, axed Medicare in favor of a different system, and reduced the governments role in business and life in general. It merited some discussion, and came under fire for a number of reasons, but in that case, at least the math added up.

Now Ryan goes on the campaigns trail and says “I’m not going to tell you what you want to hear, I’m going to be real with you, even if it’s difficult, our debt is out of control, we have to stop it.” Then he adds immediately exactly what everyone wants to hear: “20% tax cuts for everybody, because you deserve it!” His supporters revere him for being honest and tough, without connecting the fact that the tax cut is only an appeal for their vote, like a 20% coupon at a store, and would, in a manner of weeks, make the debt level unsustainable and risk immediate default, causing automatic tax hikes and vast levels of uncertainty which would hamstring investment.

Let’s put it another way, it’s like a representative of Marlboro cigarettes talking to a room of smokers. “Look, I’m going to be straight with you, smoking will kill you, your smoking is out of control and you have to cut it down and quit. That’s the hard truth. But, since I know you love smoking and are addicted to it, here’s a 20% off coupon when you buy two or more cartons of delicious Marlboro reds.”

Romney’s Turn To Center: Softening On Abortion

Romney’s veer to the center of the spectrum during the first presidential debate marks a completely different persona than the one that he faked being to win the Republican nomination during the primary season. Now he is trying to return to his old Moderate Mitt days as governor of Massachusetts when he was decidedly pro-choice. Now he made comments that conflict with his running mate’s position, and a position he held before. Plus, these comments come on the same day as the Vice Presidential debate, where Paul Ryan, an ultra-conservative, will have to explain how he can support Romney when the man keeps changing his position to appeal to voters. 

not agreeing on a common platform

Which way did he go, which way will he go?

Ryan is famous for his efforts to oppose women’s reproductive rights, and has sponsored numerous bills to limit access to contraceptives and abortion. Women are terrified of him and his positions, and tonight if Biden can get him into a corner, he will have a hard time appearing sympathetic as he tries to claim that he knows what’s best for a woman. If Biden can link him to Todd Akin, the disgraced politician from Missouri, it will be hard for Ryan to recover.

Romney’s shift to the center is welcomed. He has always been moderate, and a Moderate Mitt can enable some real conversation about the direction of the economy. If Romney would just return to who he really is, we could rest easy knowing that people in America will have health care (under a system he is originally responsible for), guns would be controlled, and women would have access to the contraceptives and family planning services that they need. We could actually have a meaningful discussion about the role of government in society, of the tax structure, and of the ways to improve the economy.

But Romney’s hand is held back by the conservative wing of the country that keeps him saying ridiculous things like “As President, I will defund Planned Parenthood.” We need to get over this childishness, this religiosity, this ignorance and intolerance that limits our national discourse. We need to ditch hardliners like Paul Ryan, and work together for common solutions to problems we can fix, not use antiquated ideas to impose our will upon others.

Please, Moderate Mitt, come back to us, rebuff the far right, free yourself from the chains of ignorance and intolerance, stop trying to be what you are not, and be your original self. You might lose some enthusiasm from the wrong wing, but you will gain a lot of supporters from the center, and maybe even win the election.

Obama’s War Comment

In the back and forth exchange between the two men vying for the presidency in November, Obama has been much more subtle, preferring sly jabs to the more outward Romney attacks. This is typical of any presidential election, where the incumbent tries to act presidential while the challenger needs to rile everyone up. But last week Obama made a sharp comment about Romney’s dialogue over the way that Obama has been dealing with other nations, that went along the lines of “well, go start a war then.”

teddy roosevelt mitt romney warmongering

Teddy would not be happy with Mitt

This is significant because Romney has revealed himself time and time again to lack any sort of foreign policy experience, but worse — he lacks any sort of interpersonal ability to act diplomatically. Romney is the sort of guy who is used to always being on top, it’s what money provides him. He equates this feeling with how he thinks America should act in the world. His approach of never apologizing for America, of viewing negotiations as weakness, and of insulting entire ethnic groups to raise money, do not make for a good working relationship with other countries who were so tired of Bush that they would vote for Obama to be the president of the world.

Obama can’t wait for the debates, where he can get into the intricacies of the ways that countries work together, while Romney huffs about needing more money for defense and standing up to other nations. It will be the same old tired debate that Republicans have been pushing for generations and Romney will look like nothing more than a Bush with 60% less gray hair.

Obama has been cautious of the way that the campaign trail affects world events, and especially the relationship with China. Romney, who is himself responsible for the growth of China’s manufacturing by sending American jobs over there, has been on the attack that the US isn’t doing enough to stop China from manipulating its currency. Romney would come out and criticize them (saying that he “would” means that he “is” but that he can’t be held “responsible” if something goes sour).

Any rational person would look at what the Federal Reserve does on a daily basis and argue that every single nation manipulates their currency to their advantage. Currencies shift up and down like the tides. Going after China over its currency is really the only way that Romney can criticize Obama, without doing any emotional damage. Which is why the individual attacks don’t matter.

What matters is the overall tone of Romney’s campaign and the way that he would always wield American military might over diplomatic reasoning, or, at the very least, speak loudly while swinging a big stick. Iran, Russia, China, all of them are in the Republicans’ sites as if they owned the world and they were criminals that needed to be put to death. The reality is, of course, a world where we must all live together whether we like it or not. No one wants more war, least of all an untested Romney, but in order to make that less likely, he has to cut off his own bravado.